With 2019 MLB Opening Day scheduled for March 28 and Major League Baseball giving an early look at regular-season action with the Japan Opening Series between the Mariners and Athletics on March 20, time is running out to make picks on 2019 MLB win totals. The New York Yankees and Houston Astros are tied for the highest over-under at Caesars Palace at 96.5 wins, with the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers looming just behind at 94 and 93, respectively. After adding Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto and Jean Segura during the offseason, the Philadelphia Phillies have seen their over-under surge to 88.5 in the latest 2019 MLB win totals. But before you lock in your 2019 MLB picks on wins and other props, be sure to see the season-long 2019 MLB projections from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire season 10,000 times and found five MLB teams whose Vegas win totals are way off. This same model crushed the 2018 NFL schedule and is beating the books in NBA and college basketball, so you'll want to see what it has to say.
The model performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past three years when it came to picking games straight up. Moreover, the model has returned more than $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks the past two years and is up more than $4,000 this season alone on top-rated NBA plays.
Now, it's locked in on Vegas' 2019 MLB win totals. We can tell you the model says the Arizona Diamondbacks exceed their projected mark of 76.
Arizona traded superstar Paul Goldschmidt to the St. Louis Cardinals during the offseason, getting catching prospect Carson Kelly, infield prospect Andy Young, pitcher Luke Weaver, and a competitive balance pick back for do-it-all first baseman. They also let Patrick Corbin and A.J. Pollock walk in free agency, which is why they're projected to take a step back from 82 wins a season ago.
However, the model calculates that they'll still have enough starting pitching with Zack Greinke, Robbie Ray, Zack Godley and Weaver to compete on a daily basis and cash the over. It projects youngsters like Ray and Ketel Marte to take a step forward in 2019 and says the Diamondbacks average 78 wins in its simulations.
The model also generated huge disparities on four other teams, including the Kansas City Royals. They finished with 58 wins last season in a dismal season. Oddsmakers have set their season-win total at 69, and the projection model has a strong opinion on the 2019 fortunes for a Kansas City team that won the World Series four years ago.
So which teams sail past their projected win totals? And how many wins will every single MLB team have this season? Visit SportsLine now to get the five best season win total bets, plus see every team's projected record, all from an advanced computer model that keeps crushing its picks, and find out.
