2023 MLB Home Run Derby prediction, odds, bracket picks, date, time, favorites: MLB expert fades Pete Alonso

2023 MLB Home Run Derby prediction, odds, bracket picks, date, time, favorites: MLB expert fades Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso is the only former champion in the 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby bracket. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is back on Monday for the first time since his loss to Alonso in the 2019 final. Mariners star Julio Rodriguez was the runner-up a year ago, getting past Alonso in the semifinals before losing to Juan Soto. Alonso, who defended his title in 2021, will try for a second time to win a third Home Run Derby title and tie Ken Griffey Jr.'s record. Yoenis Cespedes and Prince Fielder are the only others to win more than one. Rodriguez will perform in front of the home crowd at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and Soto opted not to defend his title. Luis Robert is the top seed in the MLB Home Run Derby 2023 bracket, and the White Sox star and Alonso are tied for third in the majors with 26 homers, the most among 2023 Home Run Derby competitors.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Alonso as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) in its latest 2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds. Robert is the top seed in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket and the +500 third choice, also trailing Toronto's Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at +450. Rodriguez, who will compete in his home stadium, is priced at +550, followed by the Rangers' Adolis Garcia (+600). The other participants are the Dodgers' Mookie Betts (+900), Tampa Bay's Randy Arozarena (+900) and the Orioles' Adley Rutschman (+1600). Before you lock in your 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby picks, you need to see what SportsLine baseball expert Larry Harstein has to say, considering his mastery of MLB picks.

Hartstein is a former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, and he combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry is coming off three straight profitable MLB seasons on SportsLine (plus $1,582 overall) while winning an additional $2,057 on MLB props and team totals given out on "The Early Edge." He is 59-40 on his past 99 MLB picks (plus $1,203). Anybody following him has seen huge returns.

Now, he has studied the latest 2023 Home Run Derby odds and locked in his picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

2023 Home Run Derby expert preview

For Monday night's big event, Hartstein is fading Pete Alonso, even though he has continued to perform for the struggling Mets. The "Polar Bear" will face stiff competition and hasn't been overly dominant in the event. He hit 35 in the first round in 2019, the most in a Derby round that didn't go to a tiebreaker. The Mets star won that round by seven homers, but he hasn't won any other round by more than one. Rodriguez beat him by eight in last year's semifinals and is the only player to top 30 in more than one round. On Monday, the Mariners star will have home-field advantage, and there are other threats in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby field.

Robert has hit 10 homers since June 15, which earned him the top seed. Alonso has four since returning from a wrist injury on June 18. Mookie Betts (25 homers) and Garcia (23) are right behind Alonso and Robert on the MLB list, and Guerrero is always a threat. While Alonso appears healthy, Hartstein has concerns. "As a two-time champion, Pete Alonso is the deserving betting favorite," Harstein told SportsLine. "But I'm shying away due to the wrist injury Alonso dealt with in the first half." The expert is looking for better value among the top sluggers. See his other 2023 Home Run Derby picks at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Home Run Derby picks

Hartstein has analyzed the 2023 Home Run Derby bracket and come up with his confident pick for a winner. This slugger is "hitting the ball harder than anyone else in this year's Home Run Derby field," Hartstein told SportsLine, and the expert knows he has the most value. You can only get this selection at SportsLine.

So, who wins the MLB Home Run Derby 2023? And which player has a massive hitting advantage? Visit SportsLine to see Larry Hartstein's 2023 Home Run Derby prediction, all from the expert who has crushed his MLB picks over the past three seasons, and find out.

2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds, participants

See 2023 MLB Home Run Derby picks here

Pete Alonso +300
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +450
Luis Robert +500
Julio Rodriguez +550
Adolis Garcia +600
Mookie Betts +900
Randy Arozarena +900
Adley Rutschman +1600

2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket

1 Robert vs. 8 Rutschman
4 Garcia vs. 5 Arozarena 

3 Betts vs. 6 Guerrero
2 Alonso vs. 7 Rodriguez

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