Home Run Derby 2023 odds, picks, predictions, participants, bets, bracket: Top MLB expert avoiding Pete Alonso

Home Run Derby 2023 odds, picks, predictions, participants, bets, bracket: Top MLB expert avoiding Pete Alonso

One million dollars will on the line Monday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, where eight of the top hitters in Major League Baseball will gather for the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby. The total prize pool is $2.5 million, but the winner will garner $1 million and the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket is headlined by Pete Alonso. The New York Mets slugger is a two-time winner of the event and will be challenged by seven others in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby field. Former MVP Mookie Betts is in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby lineup as well, with Luis Robert of the Chicago White Sox entering the night as the No. 1 seed. 

The 2023 Home Run Derby will begin at 8 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Alonso as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) in its latest 2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds, with Guerrero Jr. right behind at +450. Robert (+500), Julio Rodriguez (+550), and Adolis Garcia (+600) follow as top 2023 Major League Baseball Home Run Derby contenders, followed by Betts (+900), Randy Arozarena (+900), and Rutschman (+1600). Before you lock in your 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby bets, you need to see what SportsLine baseball expert Matt Severance has to say, considering his mastery of MLB picks.

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, he quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past two MLB seasons, Severance is up an incredible $6,966 for $100 bettors. That includes a 68-32 run in the last 100 bets.

Now, he has studied the latest 2023 Home Run Derby odds and locked in his picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

2023 Home Run Derby expert preview

One player Severance is shying away from on Monday night is Pete Alonso. Alonso also has a difficult path through the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket, beginning with a first round matchup against Julio Rodriguez. Alonso lost to Rodriguez in the semifinal of the 2022 Home Run Derby and the latter finished with the second-most home runs (81) ever in a single Derby. Rodriguez blasted 28 home runs in 132 games on the way to the AL Rookie of the Year award in 2022 and Alonso also has to face either Mookie Betts or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in the semifinal if he advances.

Guerrero Jr. is the current record-holder for most home runs (91) in a single Derby and brings the best hard-hit rate of any player in the field during the 2023 season. Betts has four seasons with at least 29 home runs and is on pace for his highest home run output of his career in 2023. See his other 2023 Home Run Derby picks at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Home Run Derby picks

Severance is staying away from Alonso, but he has a strong play on a surprising underdog winner. You can only get his analysis and selections at SportsLine.

So who wins the MLB Home Run Derby 2023? Visit SportsLine to see Severance's top 2023 Home Run Derby picks, all from the expert who has crushed his MLB picks over the past two seasons, and find out.

2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds, participants

See 2023 MLB Home Run Derby picks here

Pete Alonso +300
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +450
Luis Robert +500
Julio Rodriguez +550
Adolis Garcia +600
Mookie Betts +900
Randy Arozarena +900
Adley Rutschman +1600

2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket

1 Robert vs. 8 Rutschman
4 Garcia vs. 5 Arozarena 

3 Betts vs. 6 Guerrero
2 Alonso vs. 7 Rodriguez

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